CAF Qualifying 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Congo vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CGO
3 - 0
NAM
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 0
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 2
LBY
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
CGO
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 1
RWA
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
RWA
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
MWI
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |