Congo vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
RSA
1 - 0
CGO
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1992 |
GHA
2 - 1
CGO
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1992 |
CGO
1 - 1
ALG
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1992 |
CIV
0 - 0
CGO
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1990 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1992 |
NGA
4 - 0
RSA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
NGA
2 - 0
UGA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
SDN
0 - 0
NGA
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
NGA
2 - 1
CMR
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |