Congo vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
CMR
1 - 0
CGO
70%
21%
10%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 0
CGO
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CGO
1 - 0
CTA
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CTA
2 - 1
CGO
8%
19%
73%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAM
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MTN
2 - 0
NIG
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GAB
3 - 1
NIG
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NIG
0 - 0
LBR
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
82%
14%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |