Congo vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1972 |
CMR
0 - 1
CGO
74%
15%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1972 |
CGO
4 - 2
SDN
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
COD
2 - 0
CGO
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
CGO
1 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
27%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
SEN
0 - 2
CGO
64%
18%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1972 |
COD
3 - 4
MLI
74%
15%
12%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1972 |
CMR
1 - 1
MLI
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
MLI
1 - 1
KEN
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1972 |
MLI
3 - 3
TOG
73%
15%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1972 |
GUI
4 - 3
MLI
62%
18%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |