Congo vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
CGO
1 - 1
NIG
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COD
1 - 0
CGO
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
CGO
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
SWZ
0 - 0
CGO
12%
20%
67%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CGO
2 - 0
SWZ
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
LBY
1 - 1
COD
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LBY
0 - 0
NIG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
EQG
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
LBY
2 - 1
TAN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |