Congo vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
CGO
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIG
2 - 2
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
LBY
2 - 0
ETH
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
JOR
2 - 1
LBY
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |