Congo vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 0
CGO
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
GAB
1 - 1
CGO
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
3 - 2
GAB
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SLE
1 - 1
CGO
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LBR
1 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBR
3 - 0
GAM
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GAM
2 - 0
LBR
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NIG
1 - 0
LBR
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 2
GUI
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |