WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 6-4
Congo vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 4
CGO
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
0 - 1
ANG
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
3 - 0
ZAM
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CGO
0 - 1
CMR
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CMR
0 - 0
CGO
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 4
CGO
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
ETH
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |