Confiança vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
CON
11%
17%
73%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 4
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CON
4 - 0
BOC
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
77%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 3
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
ALA
88%
10%
3%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 1
VIT
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |