Confiança vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
JEC
3 - 0
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
CON
2 - 1
REM
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
PPE
3 - 0
CON
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
FLA
3 - 1
CON
88%
8%
3%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
VOL
1 - 3
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
VAS
1 - 0
REM
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VAS
0 - 0
ATP
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
LON
2 - 2
VAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1977 |
VAS
0 - 1
GOY
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |