Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Confiança vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
JAC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
MOT
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
TOM
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
TOM
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |