Confiança vs Socorrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
SOC
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 2
SAM
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 0
AMA
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
SOC
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
SOC
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |