Confiança vs Socorrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 6
CON
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
39%
27%
35%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
AMA
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 1
CDC
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
SOC
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |