Confiança vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 5
ARN
14%
22%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FEI
0 - 2
SER
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JAC
2 - 1
SER
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |