Confiança vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
AMA
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 4
CON
17%
23%
61%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
AFP
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
SER
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 4
BAH
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |