Confiança vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 0
CON
80%
15%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
DOR
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 3
CON
18%
22%
59%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 3
DOR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |