Confiança vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
OSE
85%
12%
3%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
CON
45%
29%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
CON
0 - 2
SAO
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 2
CON
37%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
FOR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
5 - 2
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PAY
4 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAR
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BOA
4 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |