Série C Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Confiança vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
YPI
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
YPI
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
CON
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 2
ECS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ECS
0 - 0
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
IMP
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |