Confiança vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SOC
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
CON
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
CON
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
GLO
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
43%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
POR
0 - 5
CEN
31%
26%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |