Confiança vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 4
CON
10%
16%
73%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
AFP
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 0
CON
78%
15%
6%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
COT
2 - 1
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
COT
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 0
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
CEU
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |