Confiança vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
CON
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
PPE
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CON
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
JUV
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 5
CSA
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
CUI
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
NAU
65%
24%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |