Confiança vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
IMP
0 - 0
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
ABC
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
CON
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 0
CON
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 1
NAU
15%
26%
59%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAM
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 1
FER
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAU
4 - 2
IMP
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |