Sergipano Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Confiança vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
20%
26%
53%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 2
CON
14%
21%
65%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
CON
3 - 2
DOR
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
7%
19%
74%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
20%
26%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |