Confiança vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
ITA
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
SOC
4 - 5
CON
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
CON
7%
15%
77%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 0
AMA
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
1 - 0
LAG
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 2
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |