Confiança vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
CON
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
ITA
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
64%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
ABS
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 1
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 0
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |