Confiança vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
CON
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
CON
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
AMA
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 2
CDC
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
LAG
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
LAG
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |