Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Confiança vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
GLO
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 3
JAC
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 1
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
JAC
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |