Confiança vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 3
CON
16%
22%
63%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
CON
15%
24%
62%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |