Confiança vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 3
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
CON
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
CON
0 - 2
REM
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ABC
4 - 0
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CON
2 - 3
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 1
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 1
NAU
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
GLO
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 1
SDJ
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |