Confiança vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 1
CON
11%
17%
73%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 4
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
AMP
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CON
68%
18%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 2
FOR
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
5 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
3%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |