Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-3
Confiança vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
CON
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CON
2 - 3
SDJ
67%
19%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
CON
23%
25%
53%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CON
3 - 1
RFC
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 0
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOA
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 5
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 4
FLU
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |