Confiança vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
CON
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
REM
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
CON
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
YPI
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 0
CON
22%
28%
51%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ECS
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
BOT
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
FER
17%
25%
59%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |