Sergipano Final
Global 5-0
Confiança vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
SOC
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |