Confiança vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
CON
27%
27%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CON
83%
12%
4%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 3
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
LAG
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 3
EST
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
4 - 2
BOC
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |