Confiança vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
CON
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
ARN
12%
21%
67%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
AMA
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
EST
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
OSE
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LAG
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |