Confiança vs Coritiba SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
BOC
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
TOM
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
JAC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
COR
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
CDC
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
COR
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
EST
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |