Confiança vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 1
CON
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 3
CON
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
OES
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
CRB
29%
29%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
CSA
60%
25%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
OPE
66%
23%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PPE
0 - 5
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
VIT
57%
26%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
CRB
0 - 1
CHA
34%
30%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |