Confiança vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
CRB
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
1 - 1
CON
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
TRE
3 - 2
CON
20%
23%
56%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
LAG
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 3
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
60%
24%
16%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
0 - 0
BOC
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
AFP
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |