Confiança vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
TOM
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
JAC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BOC
4 - 3
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
BOC
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 2
CON
17%
22%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIP
2 - 1
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |