Confiança vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 0
CON
51%
28%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
CON
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
REM
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
CON
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
APA
3 - 2
FLO
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
APA
0 - 0
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
APA
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
APA
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |