Confiança vs América SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
AFP
1 - 2
CON
7%
15%
78%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
REM
0 - 0
CON
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
PPE
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
CON
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
NAU
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
BOC
49%
22%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
FFC
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AME
2 - 0
GUA
69%
17%
13%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
EST
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |