Confiança vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EST
2 - 3
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
OSE
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
ITA
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
SOC
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
LAG
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
AMA
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -3 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 2
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
CDC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |