Confiança vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
SAM
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
REM
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 1
BOT
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CUI
1 - 1
ASA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 1
ASA
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 1
SAL
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
ASA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |