Confiança vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
CON
11%
17%
73%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 4
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CON
4 - 0
BOC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
AFP
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AFP
2 - 1
GUA
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 0
AFP
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 0
OSE
63%
20%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |