Condor Hamburg vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condor Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BER
0 - 3
CON
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
NIE
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 2
GER
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
CON
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MEI
1 - 1
CON
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SVL
2 - 2
CUR
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SVL
2 - 2
GER
25%
24%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NIE
1 - 1
SVL
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SVL
0 - 4
EIN
13%
20%
66%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SVL
0 - 1
ALT
19%
22%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |