Condor Hamburg vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condor Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MEI
6 - 3
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
UET
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NIE
3 - 1
CON
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CON
2 - 2
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
VHG
4 - 1
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UET
2 - 0
SVL
29%
24%
48%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SVL
0 - 1
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
WTS
3 - 0
SVL
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SVL
0 - 0
BUC
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ALT
6 - 0
SVL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |