Condal vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
NAL
64%
21%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
CON
29%
25%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
AST
40%
27%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ENA
0 - 1
CON
15%
21%
63%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
VCD
39%
26%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MAD
4 - 4
UCO
30%
24%
47%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
SIE
50%
24%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
RIB
62%
20%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |