Condal vs EI San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAU
2 - 0
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
MOS
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
PRA
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
TUI
3 - 1
CON
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EI San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ESM
0 - 1
MAD
51%
25%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 0
ESM
46%
23%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 1
ESM
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ESM
0 - 0
UNI
59%
22%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GIN
0 - 1
ESM
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |