Condal vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
URR
1 - 1
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
PRA
66%
21%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
CEA
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 0
CON
63%
22%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
LEN
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CEA
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
AND
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
LEN
70%
19%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUI
0 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |