Condal vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
COV
0 - 0
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
UPL
31%
27%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
URR
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LUA
0 - 2
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
LEA
32%
26%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROB
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COV
0 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 4
UPL
28%
27%
44%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |